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Compiled at 11:00 PM EST,  November 7, 2009 -- The National Hurricane Center is confident that it is correct about it forecast for Ida for the next 36 to 48 hours, but after that there is a great deal of uncertainty.  In 44 hours the NHC puts Ida about a hundred miles southeast of Louisiana or about 125 miles directly south of the Mississippi/Alabama coastal border.  There after it shows Ida moving east, but it is important to note that change in movement is uncertain.  Some models show Ida continuing to move north and then north northeast through the mid-Atlantic states, some making landfall and then moving east through the southern states.  The NHC is also not certain about the strength of Ida after 48 hours, except that it only gives a less than 4% probability that Ida will be a category 2 or greater hurricane.  The Hydrometeorological Prediction Center seems to be giving a nod to a Mississippi/Alabama landfall based on its 5 Day Quantitative Precipitation Forecast. The HPC is forecasting about 4 1/2 inches of rainfall at the point of Ida's landfall through around 5PM on the 11th.  The Climate Prediction Center appears in favor of a Mississippi/Alabama landfall followed by movement to the east  with rainfall affecting the southeastern states.    For emergency guidance follow the advice of your local emergency management agency and your local National Weather Service office. Flooding is taking place in portions of northeast South Dakota, southeast Missouri, central east Iowa, western Illinois, east Texas, western and northern Louisiana, and southern, and northeast Arkansas. Heavy precipitation is forecast for eastern Louisiana, Alabama, Mississippi, Tennessee, Georgia, South Carolina, central and northern Florida and central and western North Carolina from the 9th to the 12th. From 4 to 6 inches of precipitation is forecast for western Washington and northwest Oregon the next five days.  There is a moderate risk of fire over the southeastern states, and southern Wyoming the 7th to the 8th.  There is a moderate risk of fire over the western North Carolina, and eastern Montana and western North Dakota the 8th to the 9th. We have updated our  State's Uniform Crime Reports pages to include the recently released 2008 data.  We've contacted various agencies and crime research organizations to ask about the drop in "Motor Vehicle Theft" reported in the FBI's Uniform Crime Report. So far no one has suggested an explanation for the 13% drop in reported vehicle thefts nationally.  We are not aware of a similar drop in any category of the national crime statistics before this. Most States rate fell by double figures, one State's rate dropped over 32%, and a few States increased slightly. This begs the questions Why?   If you have an idea send me an email at: host@disastercenter.com (CDC)  Travel Updates/Guidance  WHO's war room   Declaration that a Public Health Emergency Exists and HHS Pandemic Influenza Plan Human Swine Influenza -- WHO  PAHO  CDC   H1N1 Swine Flu - Google Maps healthmap.org/swineflu CDC Twitter     State Pandemic Plans   Otros nombres: Influenza porcina States: 10 Leading Causes of Death Vital Records: Locate your States' sources for Birth, Death, Marriage, and Divorce Records  National Radar Mosaic Sectors Loop Loop Loop Loop Loop Loop Loop Loop Loop Loop Loop Loop September 17, 2009 -- We are working on adding the FBI's 2008 State Uniform Crime Reports to our State data now from 1960 to 2008 . Newspaper -- Radio -- TV Links .Alabama * Alaska * Arizona * Arkansas * California * Colorado * Connecticut * Delaware * Florida * Georgia * Hawaii * Idaho * Illinois * Indiana * Iowa * Kansas * Kentucky * Louisiana * Maine * Maryland * Massachusetts * Minnesota * Michigan * Mississippi * Missouri * Montana * Nebraska * Nevada * New Hampshire * New Jersey * New Mexico * New York * North Carolina * North Dakota * Ohio * Oklahoma * Oregon * Pennsylvania * Rhode Island * South Carolina * South Dakota * Tennessee * Texas * Utah * Virginia * Vermont * Washington * West Virginia * Wisconsin * Wyoming If you have any suggestions about how it can be improved, please send an email to host@disastercenter.com  Established 10 years ago the Disaster Center site has gone through a number of evolution's.  A big part of this work has provided coverage for disasters affecting the United States.  Big stories were Hurricane Dennis, Rita, Katrina, Wilma, Floyd, Mitch, Bret and many others.  One of the most linked to areas on the web site has been our graphics. The most popular of these Hurricane Floyd as it approached the US coast. Current and Historic Atlantic Tropical Storms and Hurricanes The Implicate Structure of Psychological Development ©   Our work of mitigating disasters involves the preparation for them, responding to them, and recovering from them.  In an ideal world we would be working on ways to mitigate risk and threat before disasters happen.   If you have any disaster reports or questions please post a message to the Disaster Center Blog. Thank you for helping us provide disaster statistics and reports by making a purchase through one of our links to Amazon or the Disaster Center Bookstore this year.  USGS Natural Hazards Support System

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