Current Tropical Weather Discussion
| November 7, 2009 -- The National Hurricane Center is confident that it is correct about it forecast for Ida for the next 36 to 48 hours, but after that there is a great deal of uncertainty. In 44 hours the NHC puts Ida about a hundred miles southeast of Louisiana or about 125 miles directly south of the Mississippi/Alabama coastal border. There after it shows Ida moving east, but it is important to note that change in movement is uncertain. Some models show Ida continuing to move north and then north northeast through the mid-Atlantic states, some making landfall and then moving east through the southern states. The NHC is also not certain about the strength of Ida after 48 hours, except that it only gives a less than 4% probability that Ida will be a category 2 or greater hurricane. The Hydrometeorological Prediction Center seems to be giving a nod to a Mississippi/Alabama landfall based on its 5 Day Quantitative Precipitation Forecast. The HPC is forecasting about 4 1/2 inches of rainfall at the point of Ida's landfall through around 5PM on the 11th. The Climate Prediction Center appears in favor of a Mississippi/Alabama landfall followed by movement to the east with rainfall affecting the southeastern states. |
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Infra Red -- MPG Movie |
Visible -- MPG Movie |
Water Vapor -- MPG Movie |




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